Background/Objectives: To analyze the predictive value of the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) in patients with prostate cancer (PCa) treated with radiotherapy (RT) and androgen deprivation therapy (ADT).Methods: Retrospective study of patients with high-risk, very high-risk, or unfavorable intermediate-risk PCa who received RT and ADT between 2008 and 2019 and underwent multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging mpMRI) at 6 months post-RT. Differences in ADC values were compared between patients with and without progression and/or local recurrence. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to obtain ADC cutoffs for predicting 10-year progression-free-survival (PFS) and local recurrence-free survival (LRFS).Results: We evaluated 98 patients (73 [74.5%] high-risk). Over a mean ± SD follow-up of 95.36 ± 30.54 months, 19 patients (19.4%) progressed; at 10 years, PFS was 75.6%, LRFS 93.8%, metastasis-free survival 85.5%, and overall survival 89.5%. Post-RT ADC was significantly lower in patients with local recurrence (1.09 ± 0.18 vs. 1.30 ± 0.20 × 10−3mm2/s,p= 0.020) and progression (1.23 ± 0.20 vs. 1.30 ± 0.21 × 10−3mm2/s,p= 0.004). ROC analysis identified a post-RT ADC cutoff of 1.11 × 10−3mm2/s for local recurrence (area under curve [AUC] 0.843, sensitivity 89.4%, positive predictive value [PPV] 98.8%). The cutoff for progression was 1.24 × 10−3mm2/s (AUC0.705, sensitivity 72.2%, PPV87.7%). Patients with a post-RT ADC value below and above 1.11 × 10−3mm2/shad a 10-year LRFS of 66.8% and 97.7%, respectively (HR: 25.04 [2.58–242.92],p< 0.001). The corresponding rates for 10-year PFS were 58.6% and 85.6% in patients with post-RT ADC values below and above 1.24 × 10−3mm2/s (HR: 2.916 [1.113–7.644],p= 0.015). In the multivariate analysis, a post-treatment ADC value ≤ 1.24 × 10−3mm2/s was a significant prognostic factor for a lower PFS (HR: 3823 [1371–10,657],p= 0.010).Conclusions: This is the first study to show that post-RT ADC can be a predictive factor of local recurrence in PCa treated with RT and ADT. Moreover, this long-term study demonstrates its value as a predictive factor of progression in PCa treated with RT and ADT.
背景/目的:分析表观扩散系数(ADC)在接受放疗(RT)和雄激素剥夺疗法(ADT)治疗的前列腺癌(PCa)患者中的预测价值。 方法:回顾性研究2008年至2019年间接受RT和ADT治疗的高危、极高危或不良中危PCa患者,并在RT后6个月接受多参数磁共振成像(mpMRI)。比较有进展和/或局部复发患者与无进展患者的ADC值差异。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线获取预测10年无进展生存期(PFS)和局部无复发生存期(LRFS)的ADC截断值。 结果:共评估98例患者(其中73例[74.5%]为高危)。平均随访95.36 ± 30.54个月期间,19例患者(19.4%)出现进展;10年PFS为75.6%,LRFS为93.8%,无转移生存率为85.5%,总生存率为89.5%。局部复发患者的RT后ADC值显著更低(1.09 ± 0.18 vs. 1.30 ± 0.20 × 10⁻³mm²/s,p=0.020),进展患者亦显著更低(1.23 ± 0.20 vs. 1.30 ± 0.21 × 10⁻³mm²/s,p=0.004)。ROC分析确定RT后ADC截断值1.11 × 10⁻³mm²/s可预测局部复发(曲线下面积[AUC] 0.843,敏感性89.4%,阳性预测值[PPV] 98.8%),进展的截断值为1.24 × 10⁻³mm²/s(AUC 0.705,敏感性72.2%,PPV 87.7%)。RT后ADC值低于和高于1.11 × 10⁻³mm²/s的患者10年LRFS分别为66.8%和97.7%(HR:25.04 [2.58–242.92],p<0.001);RT后ADC值低于和高于1.24 × 10⁻³mm²/s的患者10年PFS分别为58.6%和85.6%(HR:2.916 [1.113–7.644],p=0.015)。多变量分析显示,治疗后ADC值≤1.24 × 10⁻³mm²/s是较低PFS的显著预后因素(HR:3823 [1371–10,657],p=0.010)。 结论:本研究首次证明RT后ADC可作为RT联合ADT治疗的PCa患者局部复发的预测因素。此外,这项长期研究证实了其作为RT联合ADT治疗的PCa进展预测因素的价值。