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文章:

管状胃肠道神经内分泌癌的预测列线图与倾向评分匹配:一项基于美国人群的临床结局研究

Predictive Nomogram and Propensity Score Matching in Neuroendocrine Carcinoma of the Tubular Gastrointestinal Tract: A US Population-Based Clinical Outcome Study

原文发布日期:24 May 2024

DOI: 10.3390/cancers16111998

类型: Article

开放获取: 是

 

英文摘要:

Background:Neuroendocrine carcinomas (NECs) of the tubular gastrointestinal tract (GI-NECs) are rare and associated with worse clinical outcomes. This population-based study aims to highlight key demographics, clinicopathological factors, and survival outcomes in the US population.Methods:Data from 10,387 patients with GI-NECs were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result (SEER) database from 2000 to 2020.Results:Most patients were >40 years old at the time of presentation with a median age of 63 years old, with almost equal ethnic distribution per US population data. The most common primary tumor site was the small intestine (33.6%). The metastatic spread was localized in 34.8%, regional in 27.8%, and distant in 37.3% of cases, and the liver was the most common site of metastasis (19.9%) in known cases of metastases. Most NEC patients underwent surgery, presenting the highest 5-year overall survival of 73.2% with a 95% confidence interval (CI) (95% CI 72.0–74.4%), while chemotherapy alone had the lowest 5-year survival of 8.0% (95% CI 6.4–10.0%). Compared to men, women had a superior 5-year survival rate of 59.0% (95% CI 57.6–60.5%). On multivariate analysis, age > 65 (HR 2.49, 95% CI 2.36–2.54%,p≤ 0.001), distant metastasis (HR 2.57, 95% CI 2.52–2.62%,p≤ 0.001), tumor size > 4 mm (HR 1.98, 95%, CI 1.70–2.31%,p≤ 0.001), esophageal (HR 1.49, 95% CI 0.86–2.58%,p≤ 0.001), transverse colon (HR 1.95, 95% CI 1.15–3.33%,p≤ 0.01), descending colon (HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.12, 3.97%,p= 0.02) anorectal sites, and liver or lung metastases were associated with worse survival. Surgical intervention and tumors located in the small intestine or appendix showed a better prognosis.Conclusion:GI-NECs are a group of rare malignancies associated with a poor prognosis. Therefore, epidemiological studies analyzing national databases may be the best alternative to have a more comprehensive understanding of this condition, assess the impact of current practices, and generate prognosis tools.

 

摘要翻译: 

背景:胃肠道神经内分泌癌(GI-NECs)较为罕见,且临床预后较差。本研究基于人群数据,旨在揭示美国GI-NECs患者的关键人口学特征、临床病理因素及生存结局。 方法:从2000年至2020年的美国监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库中提取10,387例GI-NECs患者的数据进行分析。 结果:大多数患者就诊时年龄超过40岁,中位年龄为63岁,种族分布与美国人口数据基本一致。最常见的原发肿瘤部位为小肠(33.6%)。在转移分布方面,34.8%为局部转移,27.8%为区域转移,37.3%为远处转移;在已知转移病例中,肝脏是最常见的转移部位(19.9%)。多数NEC患者接受了手术治疗,其5年总生存率最高,为73.2%(95% CI 72.0–74.4%);而单纯化疗患者的5年生存率最低,为8.0%(95% CI 6.4–10.0%)。与男性相比,女性的5年生存率更高,为59.0%(95% CI 57.6–60.5%)。多变量分析显示,年龄>65岁(HR 2.49,95% CI 2.36–2.54%,p≤0.001)、远处转移(HR 2.57,95% CI 2.52–2.62%,p≤0.001)、肿瘤大小>4 mm(HR 1.98,95% CI 1.70–2.31%,p≤0.001)、原发部位为食管(HR 1.49,95% CI 0.86–2.58%,p≤0.001)、横结肠(HR 1.95,95% CI 1.15–3.33%,p≤0.01)、降结肠(HR 2.12,95% CI 1.12–3.97%,p=0.02)或肛门直肠,以及肝或肺转移均与较差的生存率相关。手术治疗以及原发肿瘤位于小肠或阑尾则提示预后较好。 结论:GI-NECs是一组罕见且预后不良的恶性肿瘤。因此,基于国家数据库的流行病学研究可能是更全面了解该疾病、评估当前临床实践影响以及建立预后工具的最佳途径。

 

原文链接:

Predictive Nomogram and Propensity Score Matching in Neuroendocrine Carcinoma of the Tubular Gastrointestinal Tract: A US Population-Based Clinical Outcome Study

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